Details on the four future scenarios which explored the possible impact on travel of our use of digital technology and also the impact of energy costs on future travel demand.

Cooperative and Close

While people value face-to-face contact, high energy costs have forced them to adapt. New Zealanders perservered through challenges by simplifying their lifestyles. They value strong communities, resourcefolness and simplicity.

Accessibility preference: physical

Relative cost of energy: high

Likely change in passenger vehicle kilometres travelled: -3%

Global Locals

In responce to rising energy costs, society invested in energy-efficient technologies and virtual interfaces. Society has moved from car dependency to virtual confidence. People value adaptabiltiy, efficiency and ingenuity.

Accessibility preference: virtual

Relative cost of energy: high

Likely change in passenger vehicle kilometres travelled: -53%

Travellers' Paradise

New Zealand is awash with cheap energy, which powers rapid growth. Citizens prefer to connect with one another face to face as digital life feels less authentic. People support network pricing to ensure they have the transport system they need. They value individual liberties, privacy and self-reliance.

Accessibility preference: physical

Relative cost of energy: low

Likely change in passenger vehicle kilometres travelled: +35%

Digital Decadence

People enjoy a vast array of experiences and services anywhere, anytime, via their digital interfaces. Many people now feel more comfortable in digital worlds than their own skins. They value openness, collaboration and innovation.

Accessibility preference: virtual

Relative cost of energy: low

Likely change in passenger vehicle kilometres travelled: -25%

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Future Demand scenarios infographic